Will Jesus Return Before GTA VI? The Wildest Bets on Polymarket in 2025
Prediction markets have always attracted speculative minds, but platforms like Polymarket have taken things to a new, sometimes absurd, level. From religious prophecies to political speech quirks, these decentralized markets allow users to place bets on virtually anything that can be verified as true or false in the future. With Grand Theft Auto VI’s release pushed to 2026, bettors have shifted their attention to highly improbable — and often bizarre — scenarios. Here are some of the most outrageous wagers currently circulating on Polymarket in 2025.
1. The Second Coming Before Grand Theft Auto VI
Rockstar Games recently postponed the release of GTA VI from May 2025 to fall 2026, a decision that sparked both frustration and creativity among fans. In a strange twist, this delay led to a spike in bets on whether Jesus Christ would return before the game finally launches.
Prior to the official announcement on November 6, less than 20% of Polymarket users entertained the idea that the Second Coming could precede the game. But immediately after the delay, that number nearly doubled, reaching 48% before tapering off slightly to 46% by the evening. The total amount wagered on this divine event surpassed $3.6 million, placing it among the platform’s most active prediction markets.
Despite the dramatic surge, the broader sentiment remains skeptical. On a separate betting market asking simply whether Jesus will return in 2025, only 2% of users selected “yes,” highlighting the symbolic — and satirical — nature of the original bet.
2. Will Trump Say “Hottest” During a UK Visit?
Another peculiar market revolved around whether former U.S. President Donald Trump would use the word “hottest” during a meeting with UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer on September 8. An impressive $1.3 million was staked on this linguistic gamble.
During the event, Trump did indeed say the word “hottest,” prompting a buying frenzy that pushed confidence in the bet’s success to 99.9%. However, Polymarket later clarified that the context didn’t meet the platform’s criteria, leading to a dispute over the outcome. This highlights the importance of specific wording in prediction markets, which can drastically affect the resolution and payouts.
3. Will the U.S. Confirm Alien Life by End of 2025?
Despite NASA’s repeated affirmations that there’s no scientific proof of extraterrestrial life, a significant portion of Polymarket users remain hopeful — or perhaps just speculative. A bet asking whether the U.S. government or another credible authority will confirm the existence of alien life or technology by December 31, 2025, has attracted over $4.6 million in wagers.
Interest in this market surged in January 2025, following a wave of UFO sightings in California. The probability peaked at 14% but has since declined to below 7%. Even the buzz around object 3I/ATLAS, rumored (without evidence) to be an alien spacecraft, failed to affect the market significantly.
Interestingly, a separate prediction market shows that 39% of participants believe Time magazine’s Person of the Year for 2025 won’t be human — a nod to either AI dominance or interstellar speculation.
4. Is the Earth Actually Flat?
While the scientific consensus long ago put the flat Earth theory to rest, a small but determined group of Polymarket users has wagered on its potential vindication. By November 7, more than $200,000 had been staked on the possibility that conclusive evidence proving the Earth is flat would emerge before the end of 2025.
Though only 0.7% of bettors have backed this idea, the bet’s mere existence underscores how prediction markets can become a playground for conspiratorial thinking — or simply high-risk amusement.
5. Could Trump Be Satoshi Nakamoto?
Arguably the most outlandish of them all is the suggestion that Donald Trump might be revealed as Satoshi Nakamoto, the mysterious creator of Bitcoin. While this theory lacks any credible evidence, it hasn’t stopped bettors from putting money on the possibility. The anonymity surrounding Nakamoto’s identity continues to fuel speculation, and Polymarket offers a stage for even the most implausible theories to gain traction.
Bonus Bet: Zelenskyy’s Wardrobe
Among the more lighthearted markets is one tracking what Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy will wear during official appearances. From olive green military-style T-shirts to formal suits, users have bet on his outfit choices, highlighting how prediction markets can blend political discourse with pop culture curiosity.
Expanding the Phenomenon: Why People Bet on the Absurd
The rise of bets on topics like religious miracles, alien encounters, and flat Earth theories reflects more than just a taste for the bizarre. In many ways, these wagers are a form of social commentary, a way for users to express disillusionment with institutions, or even mock them. The bet on Jesus returning before GTA VI, for instance, can be interpreted as a critique of endless delays in the gaming industry.
Moreover, these markets serve as entertainment. For many users, the thrill of staking money on wild outcomes offers a dopamine rush akin to gambling — but with a speculative or meme-based twist. This behavior has become part of a broader “degen” culture in decentralized finance, where risk-taking and absurdity are worn as badges of honor.
Prediction Markets as a Mirror of Collective Psychology
Sites like Polymarket don’t just offer a venue for betting — they offer insight into the hopes, fears, and humor of the online world. When large sums of money are wagered on events like alien disclosure or political catchphrases, it reveals what captures public imagination, even if only momentarily.
These markets also raise questions about belief systems. Are people truly convinced Jesus will return in 2025, or are they using the market as a form of protest or satire? The answer may lie somewhere in between, illustrating how prediction platforms serve as both economic instruments and cultural mirrors.
The Legal and Ethical Questions Ahead
As prediction markets grow in popularity, so do concerns about their regulation. Many of these platforms operate in legal gray zones, especially when bets involve political outcomes or potentially sensitive topics. Authorities in various jurisdictions are beginning to take notice, and future legislation may curtail the scope of these markets.
At the same time, ethical dilemmas arise. Should people be allowed to bet on potentially traumatic or offensive events — like natural disasters, assassinations, or divine interventions? These questions are far from resolved, but they’re becoming more urgent as platforms like Polymarket gain mainstream attention.
What’s Next for Polymarket and Prediction Platforms?
With technological advancements and growing user bases, prediction markets are likely to expand in both reach and complexity. Future bets could involve AI-driven outcomes, space exploration milestones, or even human longevity.
While many of the current bets may seem absurd, they may pave the way for more serious applications. Prediction markets have already proven useful in aggregating public opinion on elections, economic trends, and social movements. If harnessed responsibly, they could become powerful tools for forecasting and decision-making.
For now, though, Polymarket remains a digital Wild West — a place where satire meets speculation, and where believers, skeptics, and gamblers all find something to stake their coins on.