Crypto market turmoil deepens as bitcoin and ethereum plunge amid Etf outflows and macro fears

Crypto Market Turmoil Intensifies: Bitcoin and Ethereum Tumble Amid Musk-Linked Wallet Activity and Rising Macro Fears

The cryptocurrency market experienced a significant downturn this October, with a fresh 3% slide compounding an already fragile environment. Bitcoin’s price briefly sank below the $110,000 mark during intraday trading, while Ethereum slipped under $3,900. This downward pressure rippled across the digital asset landscape, triggering a broad sell-off that left altcoins particularly bruised.

This latest setback comes at the tail end of one of the most volatile months in recent memory. Since the beginning of October, the market has shed approximately $370 billion in total value. Leveraged traders took a major hit, with over $19 billion in positions liquidated. Futures open interest also shrank by $65 billion, plunging activity back to levels reminiscent of early 2025.

One of the key stressors fueling investor anxiety was a sudden outflow from spot Bitcoin ETFs. Institutional support thinned considerably, with $1.23 billion exiting these funds over the past week. Notably, Friday alone saw $366 million in net outflows, removing a critical layer of buying support just as selling intensified.

Worsening matters, a widespread AWS outage disrupted access to major trading platforms, including Coinbase and several decentralized finance (DeFi) interfaces. The resulting technical breakdown widened bid-ask spreads and forced liquidations, adding volatility and accelerating downside momentum. Within 24 hours, more than $240 million in long positions, primarily in BTC and ETH, were flushed out of the system. Bitcoin momentarily touched $107,500 as a result.

Market sentiment deteriorated further when blockchain trackers identified suspicious wallet movements involving 2,395 BTC—worth around $268 million—linked to SpaceX. Though blockchain analysts believe this was likely an internal wallet reshuffle with no immediate sell activity, the timing created a panic, stoking fears that Elon Musk might be offloading digital assets, even without confirmation.

This panic unfolded against a backdrop already weighed down by global economic uncertainty. Rising tensions between the U.S. and China, a strengthening U.S. dollar, and looming fiscal instability in Washington have driven investors toward cash and traditional safe havens. In such an environment, risk assets like cryptocurrencies often suffer severe outflows.

Technical issues in the market infrastructure also eroded confidence. A recent error by Paxos led to the temporary over-minting of PYUSD tokens until it was quickly reversed, but the incident underscored the vulnerabilities in stablecoin systems, especially during liquidity crunches.

Altcoins bore the brunt of the market’s risk aversion, with SOL, BNB, ADA, and DOGE posting sharper single-day losses—averaging around 4%. XRP, however, managed to hold up relatively better, buoyed by fresh institutional developments. This divergence highlights a classic defensive rotation: when Bitcoin stumbles, capital often flees smaller assets first in a flight to quality.

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin currently faces layered resistance in the $112,000 to $115,500 range. Key support levels lie at $108,000, then $105,000–$102,000, with the critical psychological threshold of $100,000 looming. A decisive daily close above the 50-day moving average (around $113,000) would help restore bullish momentum. However, if the price breaches $101,700 on the downside, it may trigger another wave of liquidations and auto-deleveraging, deepening the bearish trend.

Ethereum, meanwhile, is under pressure to reclaim the $4,000 level. The supply zone between $4,050 and $4,150 is now a key battleground for bulls. Failure to break above it could drag ETH down toward the $3,700–$3,600 range in the short term.

Looking ahead, macroeconomic developments will likely dictate the next major move. The upcoming U.S. CPI report and any signals from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate cuts or continuation of quantitative tightening (QT) will be pivotal. These factors can rapidly alter liquidity conditions across global markets.

On the micro level, traders should closely monitor ETF flow data to gauge whether institutional outflows begin to reverse. Exchange performance and uptime will also remain crucial, especially as infrastructure strain becomes more apparent during periods of volatility. Additionally, whale wallet behavior could offer early clues about market direction—whether large holders are accumulating or distributing their assets.

Another dimension worth watching is the broader regulatory landscape. Discussions in Japan and other jurisdictions about allowing traditional banks to hold crypto assets could pave the way for new waves of institutional adoption. Such moves might provide a long-term bullish tailwind, even as short-term uncertainty lingers.

Moreover, the current market correction may offer strategic opportunities for long-term investors. Historically, periods of panic selling have often preceded major accumulation phases by high-conviction holders. Monitoring metrics like the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio can help identify undervalued conditions, and some analysts note that BTC’s MVRV has recently dipped below its 365-day average—a potential sign of a cyclical bottom forming.

Layer-2 scaling solutions and infrastructure innovation also continue to evolve, even amid market turbulence. Projects focused on reducing transaction fees and improving scalability—especially in Ethereum’s ecosystem—are gaining traction. These developments could play a vital role in shaping the next bullish cycle.

Finally, it’s essential to remember that crypto markets remain highly sentiment-driven. Fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) can amplify price swings, while positive news or policy shifts can quickly reverse trends. Traders and investors alike should maintain a balanced view, using both technical indicators and macro-economic signals to guide decisions in this unpredictable landscape.